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Understanding China’s Economy. No, Really!

Posted in China Business, Recommended Reading

Understanding a country’s economy is difficult. Understanding China’s economy is more difficult than most because so many of its statistics are not reliable.

Yet it goes without saying that understanding China’s economy is important and, for some businesses and people, it is critical.

If you want to understand China’s economy and, more importantly, understand how to analyze China’s economy so as to be able to understand it, the book, Understanding China’s Economic Indicators is an absolute must-read. The book was written by Tom Orlik, a Wall Street Journal China correspondent and the writer of its “Heard on the Street column.”  Before joining the journal, Orlik was a China economist for Stone & McCarthy Research Associates.

The book’s cover does an excellent (and truthful) job in talking up the following goodies contained within: 

  • Which numbers can you trust…and what do they really mean? Detailed coverage of 35 key indicators—and their impact on equity, commodity, and currency markets.
  • This expert guide to China’s economic statistics gives you the up-to-the-minute knowledge you need to invest more profitably in China. The only book of its kind, it fills a pent-up demand for tradable information on China’s growth, inflation, investment, consumption, labor market, and financial data.
  • Tom Orlik identifies the indicators that matter most—ranging from gross domestic product to real estate construction, imports and exports to household spending and inflation. He explains everything investors need to know about their reliability—and drills down to reveal their specific implications for the markets.
  • Unprecedented in its clarity, depth, and insight, Understanding China’s Economic Indicators is an essential resource for every professional and individual investor seeking profits in the world’s fastest-growing, fastest-changing economy.
  • In this book, leading economist and market analyst Tom Orlik introduces 35 of China’s most significant economic data series, explaining why each one matters, how it is collected and computed, and how it impacts equity, commodity, and currency markets.
  • Orlik helps investors make sense of data on everything from Chinese GDP growth to inflation, unemployment, bond yields, electricity production, and aircraft passenger numbers. Every indicator is clearly described, along with a practical discussion of its investment implications.
  • This information is indispensable for anyone considering investments in China, or in the global markets that are moved by China’s data. Never before has it been organized so effectively–or presented with such clarity and insight.

The book actually does fulfill all of the above claims for it and though it is anything but light reading, it is so clearly written as to make even the most difficult concepts understandable.  I am always complaining about how few real economists there are who are both knowledgeable about China and write in English. Orlik most certainly fits both bills and for those who want to read a serious book about China’s economy, I cannot recommend “Understanding China’s Economic Indicators” highly enough.

  • http://laowaitimes.blogspot.com Mike Cormack

    That sounds great. I’ve long admired his columns in the WSJ. I see it’s available on the Kindle, too – might be my next purchase.

  • http://www.geoffinwuhu.blogspot.com Geoff Gibson

    Thanks for the tip. This is exactly the kind of book I’d love to get my hands on and thus I promptly clicked the hyperlink to Amazon, hoping that I could purchase it as an e-book. But it’s only available in hardback.
    I’ll never get publishing. Are these book-publishers in business or not? What is this, the nineteenth century? I mean, the final manuscript would surely have been delivered to the publisher as a digital file of some kind. How hard can it be to take the file you’ve just received and promptly re-format it for sale as a download – thereby satisfying the demand of customers who’ve got better things to do with their time than tracking mail-orders and waiting anxiously for days for those lovely little cardboard boxes to arrive (or not arrive, as the case may be)?
    I’m adding publishing to the (sadly, rather long) list of industries I’ll never understand.

  • Joel

    @GG: the book is available in Kindle format. If you are in China, you sometimes need to change the regional setting so it says US for you to see the Kindle option.

  • Geoff Gibson

    @Joel: You’re right. Thanks.

  • http://www.sanfernandovalleylawyers.com Joe

    China is such a cipher. It doesn’t help at all that their government puts out false or heavily doctored information to present the rosiest picture possible. The more I read about their economy, the more I’m waiting for them to just implode.

  • ddjiii

    I’ve read the book and I agree – there really is nothing else like it that I’ve seen. Instead of it being some author’s pet theory about China’s economy, it’s a handbook for where to get the data yourself and its strengths and limitations.
    @joe, you should read the book – it’s too simplistic and not accurate to say “their government puts out false or heavily doctored information,” while you have to be careful there is good data out there.

  • Mi Fu

    Many years ago I took part in a project for the state statistics bureau, we developed an automatic form reader that allowed a computer to read handwritten data on forms for statical surveys.
    I worked together with the guys of the state statistics bureau for several months, and I can say they take their job very serious, they try everything to provide the most reliable statistics possible.
    To say in a very simplified way “so many of its (China’s) statistics are not reliable” is not fair !

  • Ed C

    I agree with Joe! The requirements to get them to agree 3 times, and then they will cut corners and try to make more $ not caring if they have repeat business. I would suggest long term buy in AND you are ready to walk away from their supply of products. They will call your bluff sometimes but most of the time they will try to make things right because of the $ they have in the products already. This is 18 years of 3 weeks a shot and 5 times a year in China.