Though I love LinkedIn and view it as an invaluable resource for online discussion, the recent spate of articles talking about the company’s potential plans for China have me scratching my head. Foreign companies in the Internet space have a notoriously poor record in China, with local competitors almost always edging them out. Social networking sites tend to fare even worse.
Google’s well-documented problems in China boosted Baidu’s already strong market position. Sina Weibo has been a phenomenal success with Twitter blocked from the market. Other big time US Internet players have also been beaten in China, like Facebook (Renren, Kaixin001) and YouTube (Youku, Tudou). Meanwhile, Groupon is having all sorts of headaches as it throws money at the Chinese market to beat out the likes of Lashou, Meituan and Taobao’s group buying site. And that’s without even mentioning Yahoo’s long-standing and more more recent China problems.
There are all sorts of business and legal impediments for foreign companies seeking to suceed in the China internet space and many of those will no doubt come into play for Linkedin as well.
So why all the talk about LinkedIn in China as though it will be any different? One advantage it has is that it is alive and well right now in China. But as it discovered earlier this year, even that is not a certainty.
But if I had to bet, I would be putting my money on a Chinese domestic player ending up with control over China’s professional networking realm.
Currently, Tianji is the largest player in China, with six million registered users, admittedly small by Chinese Internet standards, but significantly larger than its competition. Headed by Derek Ling, a former vice president at Sina.com, who also has had stints at Motorola and Apple, the site has a number of advantages that could help separate it from a crowded field of professional SNS sites in China—probably the most important of which is that it is already large. Generally SNS pick up steam based on people’s friends all signing up for the same site.
Also, Tianji has been in the market a while—since 2005—and claims that the industry is ramping up due to different factors:
…it’s only recently that Chinese people have started to view the Web as a business networking tool, according to the company’s CEO, Derek Ling. “It’s taken professionals a while to get used to the idea of using this service. But now we are actually seeing a turning point in China,” he said.
That turning point is the result of other Chinese Facebook-like sites gaining popularity in the country, giving users exposure to how social networking services can work. These sites, however, mainly became popular from the games and entertainment offered, Ling said.
“But then after gaming what happens?” he asked. “I think people are finally looking for real value in social networks. This is where professional networks can really pick up in China.”
I think he is correct, as in the last six months or so, I have spotted a noticable (and welcome) uptick in Chinese professionals joining our China Law Blog Group on Linkedin. But predicting Tianji will dominate this sector is anything but a slam dunk; as others have noted, when you try to find the next Facebook, you could end up with the next Friendster.
Nonetheless, I have to believe that LinkedIn will not be the LinkedIn of China. Meanwhile, supposed rivals like Ushi, have only managed to capture one-twentieth the market share of Tianji. So for now anyway, it looks like the mantle of the “LinkedIn of China” is Tianji’s to lose.
It all should be really interesting. What do you think?

