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China’s New Electricity Allocation Plan. Are You Ready?

Posted in China Business

By: Steve Dickinson

The PRC National Development and Reform Commission recently issued a detailed set of rules on the allocation of electricity supply in China. The Measures for the Orderly Use of Electricity (有序用电管理办法) became effective on May 1, 2011. Since these Measures will affect virtually all companies operating in China, it is important to understand their terms. The Chinese version of the Measures can be found here. I am not aware of anyone having translated them into English.

The background is as follows. At the end of last year and continuing into this year, various regional electricity providers have initiated electricity black outs and brown outs. These measures have been imposed without advance planning and they have caused severe disruptions to both local businesses and local basic service operations. Numerous complaints have been registered.

The goal of the Measures is two-fold. The first is to prevent social dislocation caused by the unplanned termination of electrical supplies. The second is to move Chinese industry towards a rational plan for conservation of energy supplies. The current system provides no real incentive for conservation. The Measures are one step towards providing such incentives. 

The basic provisions of the measures are as follows:

  • All regional governments and electricity suppliers are instructed to develop an electricity demand and allocation plan. The purpose is to achieve an orderly allocation of electricity supply in the case of shortages. It is assumed that the unplanned use of electricity will lead to shortages over the next five years.
  • Brown outs and black outs are to be the allocation method of last resort. Planning and conservation is the preferred method.
  • Where energy shortages occur, strict priority is to be given to the following:
    • Organs of public safety such as police, transportation and communications media.
    • Industrial operations where termination of electrical supply poses a public safety hazard, such as chemical plants and mining operations.
    • Hospitals, schools and financial institutions.
    • Basic facilities for the public supply of heat, electricity and energy.
    • Agricultural uses, such as irrigation and provision of fertilizer.
    • Government infrastructure and military.
  • Last priority is to be given to industries on the restricted, to be eliminated and prohibited lists, together with nonessential lighting for commercial and retail.
  • Energy usage plans are to be developed with all major users of electricity. Two levels of energy charges are authorized. A cheap rate for interruptible power and a higher rate for secure power supply. This is an entirely new concept. Users who perform well in conserving electricity will also be given access to the preferential rate.

Whether or not this impressive system will be imposed on a national scale remains to be seen. However, foreign investors need to take the matter seriously, for the following reasons:

  • There is absolutely no doubt that shortages of electricity will occur over the next five years.
  • When shortages occur, private and foreign owned businesses will almost certainly be the first to be cut off. However, businesses that have entered into an advance plan with the local energy supplier will fare much better than those that have ignored the issue.
  • Foreign investors planning to invest in high energy usage industries such as chemical and metals processing or large scale date networks must make energy planning a primary focus of their investment plans.
  • Industries on the restricted/to be eliminated list should anticipate that their access to electricity supplies will be gradually choked off. New projects in these areas are unlikely to be approved.

Are you ready?

  • Tony

    The PRC NDRC should hire Gray Davis as a consultant…

  • Twofish

    Most manufacturing factories have diesel backup generators that start up when the grid goes down.

  • DaMn

    Tony, hmmmm…interesting insight into Grey Davis’ experience presiding over completely artificially created energy shortages by prolific failed manipulator Enron empowered by partial energy deregulation legislated by then Governor Pete Wilson.
    Is there a corollary between that and China? Not sure. On the face of it appears totally opposite.
    Is there a corollary between deregulation, financial market manipulation and economic hostage taking of the American public that hit prolific levels in the 1980′s and continued in 2001 with energy and then 2006-2007 with real estate? Yes.

  • http://www.kyzen.com Tom

    One suspects these power shortages are going to “vary” regionally. Is one safer in Shanghai/Pu Dong than out in Suzhou or still further out in the countryside? Or is the megaplex of Shanghai the problem and the remote areas better matched to supply and demand for power?

  • http://quij.wordpress.com Tim Quijano

    @ Tom
    In my experience of being in several different areas of China in the past year, you are correct. I have seen more brownouts in the less developed areas to which I have been (Guangxi and Yunnan) than in the more developed areas of Beijing, for example.

  • Tony

    DaMNn, sorry, but life is complicated. A big part of CA’s power problem was NIMBY (not in my backyard); no new power plants had been built for a long time before 2000. Suddenly, a bunch got built quickly (such as the one in Alivso) after the blackouts…
    The real estate bubble was (is) worldwide, actually starting in the UK before the US. The causes were many (including the Fed holding interest rates down, Fannie Mae/Freddie Mac & the politicians drive to increase home ownership, MBOs, creative financing, etc). Many average citizens (at least in CA) were active participants, re-financing their houses once or twice a year.
    Getting back to the point, yeah, maybe Davis could help. IIRC, the blackouts (which were for 2 hours at a time) were planned and announced ahead of time, so companies and individuals could plan head (get those generators ready!).

  • DaMn

    Tony,
    Those terrible home owners, out smarting those innocent bankers re-financing two or three times a year! Wow. What a miscarriage of justice. Yeah, that’s what did it. Those greedy home owners.
    You note all the “participants” without mentioning any of the creators of the crisis.
    The creators are just nameless mercenaries in the “system” to you.
    Life is actually pretty simple, people are complicated, especially when they are as ignorant or ideologue as you.
    “The real estate bubble was (is) worldwide, actually starting in the UK before the US.”
    I’m sure, whether you realize it or not, you meant to say the bubble began to burst in the UK before the US. To say it was created in the UK is preposterous.
    Despite the leverage and fraud if people would have just kept paying their bills everything would have been fine. It’s like an alcoholic saying “If I didn’t have to sleep I could keep drinking and I’d never get a hangover. My drinking problem would be solved.”

  • Robert

    Dinner and KTV for utility managers !! They’ve been far too long neglected.