The Chinese Are Coming, Part XVII. This Time's It's Real Estate And No, There Is No Visa With That.
All Roads Lead to China recently did a post entitled, "Real Estate Assets Lure Chinese Investors," on how a group of Chinese investors is going to the United States to purchase distressed homes. Yes, but mostly no.
The article on which All Roads bases his post comes from the Shanghai Daily and it goes a long way towards confirming what I already thought. Those Chinese coming over here to look for houses know not what they are doing. The article, entitled, "Domestic investors to shop for cheap US houses," sets forth the ill conceived plans:
The 10-day trip from January 15 will cover San Francisco, Los Angeles and Las Vegas, Shanghai Morning Post reported today.Led by Soufun.com, one of China's biggest online second-hand home sellers, the group will mainly focus on disposed houses after mortgage defaults. The average home price was between US$40,000 and US$100,000, the report said.
US real estate agencies will show them nearly 20 houses in three days, according to the newspaper.
The itinerary showed agencies in the three cities will serve them on January 16, 18 and 22.
Each member of the group needed to pay 14,900 yuan (US$2,166), excluding airfare, for the trip.
The group now has 32 applicants, half of whom were industry insiders. The others were parents of students studying in the US, the report said.
I say ill conceived because my firm has gotten numerous phone calls and emails from Chinese lawyers and investors in the last couple months and, with only one exception, none of them were truly prepared to purchase real estate in the United States. Almost all of them are under the fairly common misconception that purchasing real estate in the United States gets you a long term visa. It does NOT. Many of them were under the misconception that they could buy four bedroom houses for less than $100,000, while others quoted $150,000. Those numbers are completely out of line. There are no buildable lots in Seattle for less than $150,000, much less lots for that price with four bedroom homes on them. And Seattle is cheap compared to Los Angeles and San Francisco. Home prices have plunged in Las Vegas, but a client of mine who went there planning to buy a slew of houses recently reported back to me that it still costs at least $250,000 for a fairly nice house even there. I cannot even imagine what a $40,000 house in San Francisco is like, assuming there is such a house.
What are these Chinese buyers thinking? Are they being misled?
What fascinates me about the practice of international law is that no culture is immune from engaging in countless invalid assumptions when doing business outside their own sphere. This blog is mostly about Americans and Europeans seeking to do business in China and, as such, a fair amount of it is devoted to highlighting real and potential mistakes. These Chinese buyers show that mistakes go both ways. But we all knew that, already, right?
Chinese investors will no doubt eventually learn what it will take to purchase real estate and American real estate companies know that. One of the growth areas for foreign investment in China (and even more so in Russia, it seems) is American real estate companies setting up offices in China to market US properties.
UPDATE: The Los Angeles Times just did a story, entitled, "Chinese tour groups go house-hunting in U.S.: The cash-rich visitors are looking for bargains in the plunging market. The trips are part of a broader trend of individuals and businesses in China seeking greater investment opportunities abroad." This article quotes someone at Soufan saying their group is focusing on homes selling for between $200,000 and $300,000. This is far more realistic than the numbers set forth above and it leads me to believe the Shanghai Daily story got it wrong.
http://www.chinalawblog.com/cgi-bin/mt/mt-t.cgi/2961
The Chinese Are Coming, Part XVII. This Time's It's Real Estate And No, There Is No Visa With That.:


Comments
Dan.
Man - you need to give these guys more credit.
First, Soufun is not some corner real estate shop. they are a multi-city platform that has received several hundred million in funding and have a strong reputation for their database of research and asset pricing in China.
Second, If you have never been on one of these tours, then it is hard to see, but it is not some spastic process that starts with buying a star map on the LA strip.
It is 20 houses in 3 cities with 35 investors, who are themselves real estate insiders.
Third, the Chinese are not new to buying real estate in the US market. If you look in NYC, SF, LA, and other large cities with a significant Chinese presence you will find a lot of Chinese owned rental properties.
This group is going to 2 of those cities, and the price range of these properties suggest they are primarily those that can be rented out. They are not looking to buy a new lot, they are looking to take over a bad loan.
My opinion, this is probably going to be a trip where some great assets are marketed, and I imagine a number of them are taken up through this trip (or subsequent trips).
I have seen how these groups operate through the China's second tier, and there is a history of making people on these trips a lot of money throughout China
r
Posted by: allroads | December 7, 2008 10:21 PM
What?! You mean buying residential property in the US can't buy you a green card? And, as I was asked not more than two weeks ago by an otherwise intelligent mainland Chinese businessman, buying US$400,000 real estate in the state of Texas cannot award you US citizenship?
Signed,
Pollyanna
Posted by: Scott Loar | December 7, 2008 10:38 PM
@ Dan
Here in Denver, those numbers are close to reality. How do I know? A friend of mine owns 21 properties, all bankruptcies and auctions.
Here's the catch. People evicted from the home they thought they'd own in 20-30 years or flip in 5 usually trash the place on the way out. Sometimes after an investor/developer has bought it they come back in and trash it again. Investors (or landlords if you prefer) often rent out the units they buy at discount, especially in this market where flipping just brings laughter from experience real estate agents and if they have to evict due to non-payment the same vandalism occurs.
In Denver you can get 3-4 bedrooms (or 3 bedrooms and a rec room) in the burbs for between 100k and 175k depending on location, condition of the house, etc. If there are Chinese investment groups interested in getting in on this kind of action, I can help with the introductions.
Basically, nothing above $400,000 is moving. I've seen $1 million houses in a neighborhood near mine advertising for $800k and a savvy agent and some due diligence could get it to $750k.
Chinese buyers may be in for another shock. Meth houses. Basically a meth house is almost a superfund site. The chemicals are in the walls, wood, coat the pipes and metal frames, rugs, floors, cabinets, everything. There is no cleanup technology and legal disposal involves a landfill with a hazmat permit ($$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$). In Colorado, the seller/agent MUST disclose if meth was produced, stored or consumed in the house. Don't know what other states' laws are, but anything less than full disclosure laws and severe penalties and the Chinese buyers may be in for a very unhealthy and unprofitable surprise.
Posted by: Greg | December 7, 2008 10:56 PM
There seems to be a very good business opportunity here for a reputable property management company in the United States. The logical structure here is a REIT, but my experience is that Chinese investors tend to be very nervous about indirect purchases of real estate, but something could be worked out.
One problem in doing business in any sort of cross-cultural context is that you have to be careful who you do business with. Even if there is money to be made, there are a lot of people on the other side that will rob you blind and take advantage of the fact that you don't know what is going on. The flip side of this is that when you do find someone that you can trust, then this relationship is worth a huge amount of money.
Posted by: Twofish | December 8, 2008 7:24 AM
This is not a surprise, when talking to Chinese about prices for apartments in BJ, SH, and SZ here and then dealing with questions about US prices, their eyes almost always light up as they see it as a great opportunity, especially with the weak dollar. And while buying property won't get you a longtime visa, I'm sure it goes a long way in making sure you're visa app will be approved...
Posted by: b. cheng | December 8, 2008 7:25 AM
Also real estate makes a lot of sense for parents with students studying in the United States, since the hard part of real estate management is to have someone that you can trust on site.
The other thing is that I suspect that the reason that you have a focus on SF, LA, and Las Vegas is that those areas have large ethnic Chinese populations. Once you have Chinese in an area then you have a trust network develop in which you can figure out who to trust and who not to trust and there are bad reputational consequences for doing certain things.
Also Chinese real estate agents often end up being a intermediary between the Chinese community and non-Chinese since they end up doing business with both groups.
Posted by: Twofish | December 8, 2008 7:42 AM
Buying property will have no effect on whether your visa gets approved or not... unless you are talking humongous, Getty endowment type of money. I personally know 1 non U.S. citizen who has recently purchased a oceanfront home in Palm Beach County, Florida. This gives him absolutely no leeway; 7 years ago he bought a similarly multimillion dollar house in Orlando and was forced to sell it when it proved completely useless in securing a visa. What can help him is if he has at least X (10 or 20, i forget) employees and invests X million of dollars in a U.S. business for a certain length of time.
This isn't something he has conjectured, but what one of his U.S. lawyers has told him. He is currently scouting for feasible biz opportunities here in Palm Beach county. Just this morning we were talking about his situation; I am amazed that a multimillionaire looking to invest big cash still has to fill out the apps and do the green card shuffle.
There are goo-gobs or people with 100K, 250K, 500K to drop on a house in the U.S., and if it were that easy to secure (or even ease the process of getting) a visa, a lot more people would have gone that route long ago.
Posted by: James G | December 8, 2008 1:02 PM
Basic practical question: How do the Chinese get the USD to buy the houses? Isn't there a yearly limit ($50K?) on individuals' foreign exchange transactions?
Posted by: Spencer | December 8, 2008 7:02 PM
Information assymetry.
Posted by: ah | December 9, 2008 9:43 AM