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China: Go To Make Money, Not Just Products.

Posted by Dan on April 3, 2008 at 06:43 AM

Got an email yesterday from Shaun Rein, a leading expert in China markets and marketing. Shaun's email described an article he wrote for Business Week based in large part on a survey recently conducted by Shaun's Shanghai based company, China Market Research Group. The article is entitled "China's Rising Retail Market: Chinese youth intend to spend "considerably more" in 2008 than they did in 2007. Multinationals had better start thinking young," and Shaun's email summarizes it as follows:

While retail sales are plummeting in the US, sales in China are continuing to boom, driven by optimistic shoppers largely shielded from the global economic malaise. China as a market to sell into rather than a place to source cheap products from has become a major engine for growth for even the largest companies worldwide. But there are changing demographics and needs by Chinese consumers that make it necessary for global companies to understand their core target markets' needs and motivations and deliver the products and services they desire. Key takeaways of our research:


1) Target markets are often younger in China than elsewhere with Chinese youth as a major driver for growth in China's retail sales. Understanding what they want and what channels to sell and market to them is key. Digital and mobile phone marketing is becoming more important and mainstream -- it cannot be viewed as a cheap alternative for marketing but a critical component of brand building and marketing communication.


2) No more lazy localization -- it is critical for companies to bring the right products and marketing message to China, simply bringing what worked in other countries to China does not work. Developing a China strategy is key. Companies need to rethink their brand strategy like YUM brands has done with Pizza Hut in China to huge success or else flounder in China as Wal-Mart has done.

3) Marketing messages/ campaigns must relate to Chinese consumers. The failure of Motorola to do that by utilizing funky Hong Kong models rather than what Chinese youth aspire to be like. The opposite tack was employed by Adidas with their Olympic campaign.


4) The importance of delivering the right in-store ambiance and culture for your target market is becoming more and more important as Chinese middle class consumers are becoming far more demanding in service wants.

Though I do not believe China will be immune from a US recession (if one occurs), I do think there has been a tremendous shift in thinking regarding China on the part of American and European companies. Certainly, this is what I am seeing among those companies coming to my law firm for legal assistance in getting into China. Two years ago, the overwhelming majority of these companies were seeking entrance into China strictly to manufacture there. Now, it is the rare company that also does not plan on conducting research or design or sales there as well, or even exclusively.

China's metamorphosis from factory to the world to a prime market has begun. Do you agree?

Comments

Not really. This is just a repeat of the 1930's China dream all over again, just with the even more impressive headline-grabbing figure of 1.4 billion as supposed to just 500 million to bamboozle investors with.

China will fall off the proverbial demographic cliff in about 10 years, and afterwords will be forced to contribute an ever-greater share of its' resources into caring for the elderly, either as individuals or through the tax system. Either way, that means less money for consumer spending, and China is set to become an aging nation while still much poorer than when Japan's population fell off the same cliff back in the 1980's.

It's also worth pointing out that the importance of the United States to China as an export market is under rather than underestimated. Much of China's export goods are shipped to other Asian countries and exported on to the United States. China's exports to the US are officially 20% of the total, and if we account for goods exported on to the US from other Asian countries, is higher than that.

There is also the point that a recession or even a depression in the US would have negative consequences for European economies and Japan, which would in turn have an impact on Chinese exports to these markets. All in all, it's going to be a bumpy ride for all of us, and given the number of Chinese that depend of manufacturing for their livelihoods, I wouldn't bet on China being able to pick up the slack should the rest of us falter.

Agree. The biggest challenge that we see facing western companies (this is probably true more forsmall and mid-size than giants) who want to enter the China market is understanding and tackling the channels of distribution. The decentralization and overall lack of organization within the China distribution channels right now make it difficult for U.S. business owners to get their product out to the masses.

Don't agree - one, the US is already in a recession, this will be shown retroactively in another year or two or three. With real statistics (like the methods the US used in the '80s and before) we would already be in a recession. The credit market problems are still in the early innings.

Two, the wealth effect most people in China were feeling last year is gone along with the 40-50% fall in the markets (and we're still not at sustainable levels relative to profits)

But the time when China becomes 'the' market is coming. Just not quite yet. Gotta get through its upcoming slowdown and America's huge downturn first.

I really do not agree with this article. If sales in the US are down and China mainly supplies the US, how can the Chinese economy be strong? That makes zero sense.

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